Knowledge Shared
Making Sense of the 2020 U.S. Election
Insights on the potential market impact and investment implications of the 2020 U.S. presidential race.
The 2020 U.S. presidential election comes at a historic time, with the global economy in the grips of a pandemic and markets volatile in the face of uncertainty. What should investors focus on? Our investment teams and financial experts offer their perspectives on what the lead-up to the election – and the eventual outcome – could mean for financial markets.
Latest Insights
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
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The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
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‘A third way’ to sustain the gig economy
Alison Porter, Graeme Clark and Richard Clode from the Global Technology Leaders Team discuss the gig economy’s broad-ranging impact and why ESG engagement is imperative when investing in disruptive technologies.
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Fundamentals before politics: the outlook for stocks and bonds through the US presidential election
Portfolio managers Jeremiah Buckley and Mike Keough discuss long-term fundamental factors that may prove to be more important than short-term uncertainty caused by the upcoming election.
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US election: interpreting market moves since President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis
Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.
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Rising political risk fuels uncertainty
Head of US Fixed Income, Greg Wilensky, cautions that uncertainty is likely to remain elevated as we approach 3 November 2020, and thus it may be prudent to remain diversified and keep risk levels close to long-term targets.
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Looking past election volatility
Director of Research Matt Peron says that while the 2020 U.S. presidential race could create volatility for stocks, such pullbacks are often based on fear, not long-term fundamentals.
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US Affordable Care Act: “Reports of my death are greatly exaggerated”
With the U.S. Supreme Court set to hear arguments about the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on 10 November, the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has raised doubts about the law’s future and led stocks of hospitals and insurance providers to sell off. But Portfolio Manager Andy Acker and Research Analyst Rich Carney say the reaction may be overdone.
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US election insights: healthcare gains an edge
In this Q&A, Portfolio Manager Andy Acker explains how the political discourse around healthcare has shifted, with potential benefits for the sector.
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