Knowledge Shared
Making Sense of the 2020 U.S. Election
Insights on the potential market impact and investment implications of the 2020 U.S. presidential race.
The 2020 U.S. presidential election comes at a historic time, with the global economy in the grips of a pandemic and markets volatile in the face of uncertainty. What should investors focus on? Our investment teams and financial experts offer their perspectives on what the lead-up to the election – and the eventual outcome – could mean for financial markets.
Latest Insights
A blue wave or a blue swell?
With a Senate majority, Democrats will have an easier time of achieving their agenda. But it won’t occur without compromise, creating optimism in markets.
Read MorePeach State run-off could herald a light-blue wave for US politics
With Georgia’s Senate run-off vote offering a final, dramatic twist in the US election, what would it mean if Peach State voters hand power to the Democrats? Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi Asset Team, considers the ramifications of a potentially seismic political result.
Read MoreMaking sense of the 2020 US election
Our panel of investment professionals discuss what the result could mean for financial markets and investors.
Read MoreUS election reflections – celebrating gridlock
In a tightly contested US election, where the issue of postal votes could decide the victor, what does this mean for financial markets? Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, looks ahead to potential policy paths and the dwindling prospects of a Biden fiscal bonanza.
Read More2020 US election: first take
Why the removal of election uncertainty could support markets – regardless of the outcome.
Read MoreEquity markets price in uncontested US election
Director of Research Matt Peron says when it comes to the U.S. election, the biggest risk for equity markets is not which party gets voted into office but whether the outcome is contested. So far, equities expect a clear winner on or near Election Day.
Read MoreLow rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
Read MoreThe end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
Read More‘A third way’ to sustain the gig economy
Alison Porter, Graeme Clark and Richard Clode from the Global Technology Leaders Team discuss the gig economy’s broad-ranging impact and why ESG engagement is imperative when investing in disruptive technologies.
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