Knowledge Shared

Making Sense of the 2020 U.S. Election

Insights on the potential market impact and investment implications of the 2020 U.S. presidential race.

The 2020 U.S. presidential election comes at a historic time, with the global economy in the grips of a pandemic and markets volatile in the face of uncertainty. What should investors focus on? Our investment teams and financial experts offer their perspectives on what the lead-up to the election – and the eventual outcome – could mean for financial markets.

Latest Insights

Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?

Oct 23, 2020

Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.

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The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world

Oct 20, 2020

Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.

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Fundamentals before politics: the outlook for stocks and bonds through the US presidential election

Oct 9, 2020

Portfolio managers Jeremiah Buckley and Mike Keough discuss long-term fundamental factors that may prove to be more important than short-term uncertainty caused by the upcoming election.

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Emerging markets caught in trade winds

Oct 6, 2020

Geopolitics are often an important consideration when investing in emerging market (EM) stocks, the upcoming US election included. But regardless of who takes the White House in November, the next administration is likely to continue down a path of deglobalization, with important considerations for EM investors, says Emerging Market Equity Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña.

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US election: interpreting market moves since President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis

Oct 5, 2020

Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.

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Rising political risk fuels uncertainty

Oct 2, 2020

Head of US Fixed Income, Greg Wilensky, cautions that uncertainty is likely to remain elevated as we approach 3 November 2020, and thus it may be prudent to remain diversified and keep risk levels close to long-term targets.

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Looking past election volatility

Oct 1, 2020

Director of Research Matt Peron says that while the 2020 U.S. presidential race could create volatility for stocks, such pullbacks are often based on fear, not long-term fundamentals.

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US Affordable Care Act: “Reports of my death are greatly exaggerated”

Oct 1, 2020

With the U.S. Supreme Court set to hear arguments about the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on 10 November, the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has raised doubts about the law’s future and led stocks of hospitals and insurance providers to sell off. But Portfolio Manager Andy Acker and Research Analyst Rich Carney say the reaction may be overdone.

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