Fund Manager December 2021 Commentary – Henderson EuroTrust
2 minute read
In December, the Trust had a disappointing month and we continued to struggle for performance.
This was very much a market led by value and cyclicality and our best performing positions included Unicredit, CHNi, Stellantis and Munich Re. From these four positions, the only thing worthy of stock-specific comment was the Unicredit Capital Markets Day. During this event, the new CEO, Andrea Orcel, laid out his medium-term intention to return the bank to a business capable of delivering a double digit return on tangible equity. If he is successful, we believe that this could potentially result in a substantial rerating of the equity from their current 0.4 to 0.5 x tangible book value trading range.
Our worst performing positions included Delivery Hero, Cellnex, Zur Rose and HelloFresh. These are all very much ‘growth companies’ and this was not the environment for these kinds of stocks to perform well. We retain our faith in Delivery Hero, which we see as capable of reaching profitability within 24 months, and Cellnex, which offers a defensive and growing stream of future cash flows. We have sold our position in HelloFresh which we see as more challenged over the next few years whilst maintaining a small position in Zur Rose.
We have repositioned the portfolio somewhat in recent months. In summary, we have been working to increase our cyclical exposure heading into 2022 (via companies such as SKF, Safran, Arkema and Total), we have reduced position sizing in our earlier-stage tech companies (Delivery Hero, Sinch and others) and we have balanced our sector exposure. The intention is to better position the portfolio to benefit from the post-Covid recovery whilst aiming for a more neutral cyclical/defensive tilt (we have been meaningfully overweight defensives) and a slightly more diversified portfolio (more stock specific risk, less factor/sector/thematic risk). As part of this rebalancing, and alongside other trades, we bought new positions in Total, Arkema and SAP in December whilst selling Hellofresh and RWE.
We will continue to retain balance in our exposures by considering two types of business for investment; those where we see high and sustainable returns that are undervalued by the market and those companies where we can see a material improvement in medium term business prospects.
These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. Any securities, funds, sectors and indices mentioned within this article do not constitute or form part of any offer or solicitation to buy or sell them.
Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.
The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.
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