For financial professionals in Italy

UK Multi Asset Team – long-term expected returns & market assumptions

Nick Harper, CFA

Nick Harper, CFA

Portfolio Manager  


Paul O’Connor

Paul O’Connor

Head of Multi-Asset | Portfolio Manager


2 Feb 2022

In this 2022 update, the UK-based Multi Asset Team sets out their expected longer-term returns for 20 major asset classes across equity, fixed income, currencies and commodities, discussing the implication of their forecasts for each asset class.

Key Takeaways

  • The strong price performance of equities in 2021 has led to a reduction in expected returns for world markets. Despite this, equity valuations do not look excessive relative to other asset classes
  • Low starting yields for government bonds provide limited room for capital growth, but we still expect a small premium over cash from the additional income
  • To achieve similar returns to history, portfolios may need to look different to prior years, as valuations in core asset classes compel investors to look more widely for returns and diversification

These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. Any securities, funds, sectors and indices mentioned within this article do not constitute or form part of any offer or solicitation to buy or sell them.

 

Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

 

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

 

Marketing Communication.

 

Glossary

 

 

 

Important information

Please read the following important information regarding funds related to this article.

The Janus Henderson Horizon Fund (the “Fund”) is a Luxembourg SICAV incorporated on 30 May 1985, managed by Henderson Management S.A. Henderson Management SA may decide to terminate the marketing arrangements of this Collective Investment Scheme in accordance with the appropriate regulation. This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KIID before making any final investment decisions.
    Specific risks
  • Shares/Units can lose value rapidly, and typically involve higher risks than bonds or money market instruments. The value of your investment may fall as a result.
  • The Fund invests in other funds (including exchange traded funds and investment trusts/companies), which may introduce more risky assets, derivative usage and other risks, as well as contributing to a higher level of ongoing charges.
  • The Fund may use derivatives towards the aim of achieving its investment objective. This can result in 'leverage', which can magnify an investment outcome and gains or losses to the Fund may be greater than the cost of the derivative. Derivatives also introduce other risks, in particular, that a derivative counterparty may not meet its contractual obligations.
  • If the Fund holds assets in currencies other than the base currency of the Fund or you invest in a share/unit class of a different currency to the Fund (unless 'hedged'), the value of your investment may be impacted by changes in exchange rates.
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  • Securities within the Fund could become hard to value or to sell at a desired time and price, especially in extreme market conditions when asset prices may be falling, increasing the risk of investment losses.
  • Some or all of the ongoing charges may be taken from capital, which may erode capital or reduce potential for capital growth.
  • The Fund could lose money if a counterparty with which the Fund trades becomes unwilling or unable to meet its obligations, or as a result of failure or delay in operational processes or the failure of a third party provider.
Nick Harper, CFA

Nick Harper, CFA

Portfolio Manager  


Paul O’Connor

Paul O’Connor

Head of Multi-Asset | Portfolio Manager


2 Feb 2022