Strategic Fixed Income: concoction of stress factors

11/10/2018

Download


This video was recorded on Tuesday 9 October 2018.

An unhealthy concoction of factors are creating a classically late-cycle feel in the markets. In a challenging time for bond managers, John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, simplifies the conundrums and shares his views.


Key points:
  • While secular trends have remained entrenched, the last two years have been characterised by a reflation trade, primarily driven by China reflating the world in 2015-16
  • There is a divergence in equity markets — US growth equities versus European value 
  • There is a clear contradiction in the narratives from the bond and equity markets
  • John believes the technical breakout in yields is more of a false dawn
  • John also believes the unhealthy concoction of factors will prove to be a buying opportunity for bonds in a few months’ time

Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

For promotional purposes.

Anything non-factual in nature is an opinion of the author(s), and opinions are meant as an illustration of broader themes, are not an indication of trading intent, and are subject to change at any time due to changes in market or economic conditions. It is not intended to indicate or imply that any illustration/example mentioned is now or was ever held in any portfolio. No forecasts can be guaranteed and there is no guarantee that the information supplied is complete or timely, nor are there any warranties with regard to the results obtained from its us.

Share

Important message