Generational investing: the world according to generation selfie (part 1)

29/09/2016

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Dr Paul Redmond, Director of Student Life at the University of Manchester in the UK, explains the key findings of his work on ‘generational theory’ and the implications in a fast-changing world. In this, the first of a two part series, Dr Redmond explains the motivations and values of Generation Y and how these impact their behaviour as investors and consumers.


Part 1: ‘Each new generation is a new people’

In ‘Democracy in America’, French political thinker Alexis de Tocqueville wrote, ‘Amongst democratic nations, each generation is a new people' (i). In recent years this theory has been amply tested. As a result, almost 200 years after the publication of de Tocqueville’s seminal work, more information has been collected about today’s five generations than about any in history – not only in the West, but across the world. For business leaders and analysts, this knowledge offers numerous benefits. Extensive research is now available to provide a unique insight into how each generation thinks, behaves, and invests resources.

The aim of this article is threefold. First, it will provide a brief overview of generational theory, one of the most exciting and innovative theories to have emerged in recent years from the fields of sociology and demographics. Next, the article will focus on Generation Y – the ‘digital natives’ (ii)  who are currently transforming (and being themselves transformed) by the combined forces of technology, globalisation and values. Finally, the article offers key insights into how Generation Y are predicted to behave as investors and consumers.

Table 1: The five contemporary generations

GenerationBirth datesDefining global eventsCommunication preferencesFinancial drivers
Silent GenerationPre-1945Second World War
Rationing
Letter writing
Radio
Security
Austerity
Baby Boomers1945-1963Cold War
Vietnam
JFK
Woodstock
Television
Newspaper
Loyalty
Family
Generation X1964-1979Berlin Wall
Challenger disaster
Live Aid
Sony Walkman
Early 'digital immigrants'
Work-life balance
Independence
Generation Y1980-19999/11
iPhone
Economic crash
Digital natives
Smart phone
Facebook
Entrepreneurism
Values
Flexibility
Generation Z2000 - Austerity
Environmental concerns
WhatsApp
Tinder
Social media
Cashless

Generation Y: the first digital natives

Generation Y (also referred to as ‘Millennials’) were born between 1980 and 1999 and, over the next decade, are on course to overtake the Baby Boomers to become the world’s largest generation. Globally, there are over 2 billion members of Generation Y, with 86% living in emerging markets (iii). The impact of Generation Y will transform the workplace. Estimates are that by 2025, Generation Y will account for 75% of the global workforce.

While the Baby Boomers remain the generation that possesses the financial clout to outspend all other generations, there are signs that this prominence is set to wane. Generation Y is rapidly becoming the new economic powerhouse – in 2015 accounting for $1.3trn in consumer spending (by 2025 this figure is expected to reach $8.3trn in the US alone). None of this is accidental. Much of the wealth of Generation Y is being transferred to them by their Baby Boomer parents – an unprecedented $40trn inter-generational gift that analysts have termed ‘the Great Transfer’.

Members of Generation Y are commonly referred to as the world’s first ‘digital natives’ – the first generation in history for whom computers are not strictly speaking ‘technology’ (the rule of thumb is if it’s been around before you were born, it’s not ‘technology’). As far as Generation Y is concerned the Internet has always existed, telephones have always been mobile, cameras have always been digital. With a default global mind-set Generation Y is naturally entrepreneurial, working ‘with’ organisations rather than ‘for’ them, and looking to take career breaks within the first five years after university.

Table 2: Characteristics and motivations of Generation Y

Generation Y characteristics Motivations
IndependencePersonal and career development
EntrepreneurialSelf-expression
GlobalAccess over ownership
Team playerExperience-orientated
Civic-mindedSeeking authenticity
Digital nativesGroup acceptance

Generation Y: motivations and priorities

Central to the Generation Y mind-set are authenticity and sharing. In a study by US Trust, 67% of Millennials claimed that their investment decisions were a way to ‘express their social, political or environmental values’. Accompanying this is a strong sense of independence. More than six out of ten Generation Y graduates intend to switch careers frequently during their working lifetimes. This compared to 84% of Baby Boomers who said they intended to remain in the same job for the rest of their working lives.

But this doesn’t mean that Generation Y isn’t ambitious. In a recent survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers, 52% of graduates said that the defining quality which would make a prospective employer attractive to them was the possibility of career advancement. 65% of respondents identified the opportunity for personal development.

Unlike Generation X, Generation Y is motivated by civic and global values. With a global outlook, Generation Y has a strong sense of right and wrong – which it sense-checks via social media. At work, Generation Y expects to be treated fairly and equitably – from day one. Running in parallel to this is a demand that organisations remain true to their stated corporate social responsibility (CSR) strategies.

Generation Y as future investors

My own research has highlighted the impact of the 2008 economic downturn on the financial confidence and outlook of Generation Y (iv).  This downturn, first highlighted by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, led to a generation-wide loss of faith in some high street financial institutions – a loss which, paradoxically, has left Generation Y in a ‘double-bind.’  On paper, they are the most educated and qualified generation in history. And yet in Europe alone, the spiralling costs of housing means that just under half of them still live at home with their parents. According to a study by Accenture, 80% of Generation Y believes that the economic downturn has taught them the importance of accumulated savings. Nevertheless, almost half have yet to start saving for retirement.

Generation Y’s lack of financial literacy is well documented along with a growing sense of alienation from high street banking institutions. According to Scratch Viacom’s ‘Millennial Disruption Index’ (MDI), 53% of Millennials fail to see any difference between what their current bank offers them versus its competitors. Partly this is down to a growing generational gap which is emerging between traditional banks and Generation Y.

‘YOLO’ (you only live once): Generation Y markets

Research shows that Generation Y inhabits a ‘sharing economy’, in which access to services and products are afforded a greater level of importance than purchases. Whereas earlier generations attached value to prestige purchases, Generation Y prioritises lived experiences – all of which, in order to register value, have to be socially referenced via social media. This constant social referencing is a key generational characteristic: unless an activity, experience or purchase has been shared via social media, as far as Generation Y is concerned, it does not fully exist. ‘Reality’ for this generation is not nearly as interesting as the story they will tell about it later via social media.

The growth of the sharing economy, coupled with Generation Y’s propensity to invest in services and experiences, means that potentially lucrative investment opportunities should arise in markets in which sharing opportunities are prevalent. Examples are shared finance, shared accommodation (an example of which is Airbnb), car sharing and car rentals, music and video streaming, hotel rooms, access to luxury goods, property sharing, self-storage and asset sharing. With their capacity to trigger the inner Generation Y entrepreneur, industries which provide opportunities for ‘C2C’ (customer-to-customer) transactions will be particularly important to Generation Y consumers.

C2C and F2F

Of course, what allows each of these areas to thrive and multiply is their almost seamless capacity to involve a strong digital interface. For Generation Y, accessing a product or service via the internet is a given. There is, however, a caveat. When seeking financial advice, my own research found that Generation Y still prefers ’F2F’ (face-to-face) interaction with a skilled financial adviser. In this, Generation Y reflects the values of previous generations. The only difference is that Generation Y expects the adviser to be available whenever he or she is required. No doubt this is another reason why high street banks are struggling to gain the attention of younger consumers.


 

Selected references

i. 'Democracy in America’, de Tocqueville, A. (1835)

ii. 'Digital Natives, Digital Immigrants’, Prensky, M.: On the Horizon Journal (MCB University Press, Vol. 9 No. 5, October 2001).Digital Natives, Digital Immigrants’, Prensky, M.: On the Horizon Journal (MCB University Press, Vol. 9 No. 5, October 2001).

iii. 'Generation Next – Millennials Primer’, report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (2015)

iv. 'Generations Apart: exploring employee benefits solutions for today’s workplace’, Redmond, P, White Paper Report for Barclays plc (2013).

These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. Any securities, funds, sectors and indices mentioned within this article do not constitute or form part of any offer or solicitation to buy or sell them.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

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