Market GPS
Investment Outlook 2021
What should be on the radar for investors in 2021? Market GPS helps direction-set with a video summary, in-depth asset class analysis and our latest portfolio manager views.
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2021 — in a word: recovery
Andrew Mulliner, Portfolio Manager and Head of Global Aggregate Strategies, explains why 2021 will likely be a year of recovery, though he cautions that we should keep one eye on inflation and inflation expectations.
A blue wave or a blue swell?
With a Senate majority, Democrats will have an easier time of achieving their agenda. But it won’t occur without compromise, creating optimism in markets.
European loans: as varied as Bertie Bott’s every flavour beans
Elissa Johnson and Tim Elliot, secured loans specialists within the Secured Credit Team, highlight how European loans can provide the opportunity to invest in an asset class offering a wide range of risk adjusted returns.
Fed watch: hardly a stoic Fed
The US Federal Reserve declined to expand accommodative policy measures, but Nick Maroutsos, Head of Global Bonds, believes the decision does not suggest the central bank is backing off from supporting the economic recovery.
Hard not to feel constructive on credit markets in 2021
Colin Fleury, Head of Secured Credit London, says a relatively constructive view for credit markets may seem strange, but there are reasons he believes stress in the markets will be manageable.
Global bonds in 2021: better but still bumpy
Portfolio Manager Nick Maroutsos explains why bond investors should be cautiously optimistic as we enter 2021.
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
The Fed’s new policy, inflation and its implications for U.S. bonds
Greg Wilensky and Michael Keough discuss their outlook for U.S. inflation after the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy change, and its impact on U.S. bond markets.
A letter to the Fed from a concerned friend
Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos expresses concern that monetary policy focused on financial markets will do little to ignite the growth needed for the economy to recover from recent weakness.
Secured loans update: all loans are not equal
Elissa Johnson, Portfolio Manager and secured loans specialist within the Secured Credit Team, provides a brief analysis of the current state of US and European loan markets, finding that they signal different outlooks.
A superfluous tweak to the Fed’s mandate
Nick Maroutsos, Co-Head of Global Bonds, believes that despite a shift in policy, the US Federal Reserve will likely not have to worry about watching inflation climb above its target of averaging 2% over the long term.