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For institutional investors in Germany

The case for emerging markets debt hard currency

Emerging markets debt has evolved into a vast and increasingly diverse asset class, spanning sovereign and corporate bonds across both hard and local currencies. As its size has grown, so too have the opportunities which requires focused and careful credit analysis. Here we explore what defines the asset class and examine the role emerging markets debt can play in portfolios.

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27 Aug 2026
15 minute read

Key takeaways:

  • Institutional investors face the challenge of capturing yield, diversification, and growth from their fixed income allocations. Over time, EM government bonds have typically provided investors with higher yields and differentiated returns relative to DMs, showing modest correlation to global equities and global bonds.
  • The emerging markets debt hard currency (EMD HC) debt universe spans around 70-80 countries that are subject to different economic cycles and are at varying stages of economic development, resulting in a diverse set of fundamental drivers.
  • EMD HC offers the potential to isolate and benefit from the EMD return drivers, helping investors with asset allocation. Focused credit analysis can be rewarded, with country allocation and security selection helping to capture alpha in EMD.

In a world where fixed income investors are seeking yield, diversification, and growth, emerging markets debt hard currency offers a compelling opportunity. Spanning 70-80 countries at different stages of economic development, the asset class provides access to a wide range of economic drivers and return sources.

Today, the total emerging markets debt universe represents more than US$32 trillion1, making it a significant component of global fixed income markets.

We explore how emerging markets debt hard currency differs from local currency debt, the benefits of investing in the asset class and why active country and security selection can be critical to generating alpha.

1 Source: JP Morgan, total debt stock, 31 December 2025.

These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.

 

Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

 

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

 

There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.

 

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