Market GPS
Investment outlook 2021
What should be on the radar for investors in 2021? Market GPS helps direction-set with a video summary, in-depth asset class analysis and our latest portfolio manager views.
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Tempering expectations
While record-setting prices for riskier assets hint at better days ahead, Portfolio Manager Nick Maroutsos believes that a complete exit from the pandemic may take longer than expected, justifying continued monetary and fiscal hyper-accommodation.
Considerations for higher yields
Head of US Fixed Income Greg Wilensky explains why investors should consider how much interest rate risk they have in their portfolios, and make sure it is appropriate for their needs.
A blue wave or a blue swell?
With a Senate majority, Democrats will have an easier time of achieving their agenda. But it won’t occur without compromise, creating optimism in markets.
Inflation: is this the real thing? Is this just fantasy?…
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, explains why an expected and predictable cyclical reflation should not be confused with a longer-term structural breakout of inflation.
Fed watch: hardly a stoic Fed
The US Federal Reserve declined to expand accommodative policy measures, but Nick Maroutsos, Head of Global Bonds, believes the decision does not suggest the central bank is backing off from supporting the economic recovery.
Global bonds in 2021: better but still bumpy
Portfolio Manager Nick Maroutsos explains why bond investors should be cautiously optimistic as we enter 2021.
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
The Fed’s new policy, inflation and its implications for U.S. bonds
Greg Wilensky and Michael Keough discuss their outlook for U.S. inflation after the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy change, and its impact on U.S. bond markets.
A letter to the Fed from a concerned friend
Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos expresses concern that monetary policy focused on financial markets will do little to ignite the growth needed for the economy to recover from recent weakness.
Strategic Fixed Income: Japanification — Europe first and now the US
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, explains how the suppression of volatility by the US Federal Reserve during the Covid crisis has led to the Japanification of the US corporate bond market.
A superfluous tweak to the Fed’s mandate
Nick Maroutsos, Co-Head of Global Bonds, believes that despite a shift in policy, the US Federal Reserve will likely not have to worry about watching inflation climb above its target of averaging 2% over the long term.