Director of Research Matt Peron says when it comes to the U.S. election, the biggest risk for equity markets is not which party gets voted into office but whether the outcome is contested. So far, equities expect a clear winner on or near Election Day.
Recent polls may lead one to believe that the presidential race is all but called in favour of Joe Biden. In this article, Ashwin Alankar, Head of Global Asset Allocation, comments on signs from options markets that the Democratic nominee’s gap over President Trump has narrowed even more than recent polling data might suggest.
Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.
Nick Maroutsos, Co-Head of Global Bonds, believes that despite a shift in policy, the US Federal Reserve will likely not have to worry about watching inflation climb above its target of averaging 2% over the long term.
Portfolio Manager Dan Siluk explains that, despite economic conditions appearing to stabilise throughout much of Australia, the Reserve Bank of Australia felt compelled to recommence bond purchases to establish its credibility with respect to its yield curve control programme.
Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos describes the Fed decision in July to hold rates steady as a non-event given that the central bank, through its actions, has already proven its willingness to do whatever it takes to support the US economy during this unprecedented period.
Co-Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos gives the US Federal Reserve high marks for ensuring properly functioning financial markets but believes that work still needs to be done to support households and small businesses most vulnerable to the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.