Key takeaways:
- Today’s total portfolio approach still relies on a static reference portfolio, so a fund’s risk drifts with markets. The next step is to start from a drawdown budget and manage total risk to it every day.
- What we see as a key advantage of the total portfolio approach is dynamic risk budget utilisation – taking more risk when the opportunity set is rich, less when it isn’t, and knowing when to re-risk after losses.
- Compound returns should be a fund’s North Star: Long-horizon funds that plan for shocks can supply liquidity when volatility arises rather than be forced sellers. Managing this process requires quantitative talent, a crisis playbook, and a CIO who builds trust with the board.
These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.
Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.
The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.
There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.
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