Unravelling myths: The hidden truths of Emerging Markets Debt
The EMD HC Team highlight how emerging markets debt (EMD) has evolved into a rapidly growing and maturing asset class, one which deserves closer attention from investors seeking diversified and resilient portfolios with attractive long-term return potential.
6 minute read
Key takeaways:
- The hard currency sovereign universe (EMD HC) is now a mature asset class spanning over 70 countries across the full ratings spectrum, with 50% of the universe rated investment grade. The breadth of countries brings fundamental diversification of risk (versus domestic US-dollar denominated assets) within an investor’s portfolio.
- EMD HC provides investors with access to the EM “risk premium” combined with the more defensive properties of bonds.
- Investment outcomes can be enhanced through active management due to the complexity of the asset class and prevailing market inefficiencies.
Emerging markets (EMs) as an asset class have been accessible for over two decades, yet misconceptions surrounding them continue to deter some investors. Despite EMs accounting for over 60% of global gross domestic product (GDP) and being home to nearly 90% of the world’s population,[1] European investors have on average a 6% allocation to EMD in their portfolios.[2] Many miss the chance therefore to diversify their portfolios by not incorporating exposure to EMs.
Some of the key attributes of Emerging Markets Debt Hard Currency (“EMD HC”) are:
- Attractive yields: EMD HC offers yields that are much higher when compared to developed market (DM) debt, with a significant portion of the universe rated investment grade (IG), presenting robust return potential over the long term.
- Resilience and stability: Despite preconceptions, EM countries have demonstrated marked improvement in economic fundamentals, making them more resilient to global economic shifts.
- Diversification: EMD HC provides fundamental diversification of risk by offering exposure to a multifaceted range of countries. It provides access to the EM risk premium combined with the more defensive properties associated with hard currency (HC) bonds.
- Active management opportunities: The complexity and inefficiencies inherent in the asset class necessitate active management strategies to successfully navigate and capitalise on opportunities that, in our view, indices and passive exchange-traded funds (ETFs) overlook.
In this paper, we address key misconceptions about EMs that may be preventing investors from embracing this asset class, with a specific focus on hard currency EM sovereign debt. We highlight how EMD has evolved into a rapidly growing and maturing asset class, one which deserves closer attention from investors seeking diversified and resilient portfolios with attractive long-term return potential.
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These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.
Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.
The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.
There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.
Marketing Communication.
6 minute read
Key takeaways:
- The hard currency sovereign universe (EMD HC) is now a mature asset class spanning over 70 countries across the full ratings spectrum, with 50% of the universe rated investment grade. The breadth of countries brings fundamental diversification of risk (versus domestic US-dollar denominated assets) within an investor’s portfolio.
- EMD HC provides investors with access to the EM “risk premium” combined with the more defensive properties of bonds.
- Investment outcomes can be enhanced through active management due to the complexity of the asset class and prevailing market inefficiencies.