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Making Sense of the 2020 U.S. Election

Insights on the potential market impact and investment implications of the 2020 U.S. presidential race.

The 2020 U.S. presidential election comes at a historic time, with the global economy in the grips of a pandemic and markets volatile in the face of uncertainty. What should investors focus on? Our investment teams and financial experts offer their perspectives on what the lead-up to the election – and the eventual outcome – could mean for financial markets.

Latest Insights

US election reflections – celebrating gridlock

Nov 5, 2020

In a tightly contested US election, where the issue of postal votes could decide the victor, what does this mean for financial markets? Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, looks ahead to potential policy paths and the dwindling prospects of a Biden fiscal bonanza.

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2020 US election: first take

Nov 4, 2020

Why the removal of election uncertainty could support markets – regardless of the outcome.

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Low rates vs. U.S. election: What matters for fixed income?

Oct 20, 2020

Central bank policy is likely to continue to have the biggest influence over fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the U.S. election.

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Fundamentals before politics: the outlook for stocks and bonds through the election

Oct 7, 2020

Long-term market factors may prove to be more important for investors than short-term election uncertainty.

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US election: interpreting market moves since President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis

Oct 6, 2020

Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.

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US Affordable Care Act: “Reports of my death are greatly exaggerated”

Oct 6, 2020

With the U.S. Supreme Court set to hear arguments about the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on 10 November, the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has raised doubts about the law’s future and led stocks of hospitals and insurance providers to sell off. But Portfolio Manager Andy Acker and Research Analyst Rich Carney say the reaction may be overdone.

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US election: interpreting market moves since President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis

Oct 5, 2020

Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.

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Looking past election volatility

Oct 1, 2020

Director of Research Matt Peron says that while the 2020 U.S. presidential race could create volatility for stocks, such pullbacks are often based on fear, not long-term fundamentals.

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