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Chart to Watch: US investment-grade ABS exhibit low default rates

The historically low default rates in U.S. investment-grade (IG) asset-backed securities (ABS) can be ascribed to consistent underwriting standards and several investor protections inherent within ABS structures.

John Kerschner, CFA

Global Head of Securitised Products | Portfolio Manager


Sep 18, 2025
1 minute read

Key takeaways:

  • Historically, U.S. investment-grade (IG) corporates and asset-backed securities (ABS) have been largely bankrupt remote. Between 2004 and 2024, default rates did not surpass 0.75% and 0.12% in any calendar year for IG corporates and IG ABS, respectively.
  • ABS have further benefitted from a key structural advantage of securitized assets – they are funded by a specific pool of assets and backed by the proceeds from those assets, instead of the general financial strength of the issuing company.
  • This distinguishing characteristic can help insulate investors from corporate-level distress and is a core reason why securitized structures have tended to be more resilient in stressed economic environments.

Source: S&P Global Ratings, as of 31 August 2025.

Default rates for IG ABS have compared favorably to IG corporate credit since their inception. From the late 1990s through 2025, no AAA ABS has defaulted, while 2002 was the only year in which the AA tranche experienced a default. There has not been a single default in IG ABS since 2010. Even at the height of the Global Financial Crisis, ABS held up well despite severe stress in financial markets.

-John Kerschner, Global Head of Securitized Products

A bond default occurs when the bond’s issuer fails to make a required payment or otherwise violates the terms of the bond agreement, such as failing to pay interest or principal when due, or failing to meet other contractual obligations.

A bond default rate is a metric that quantifies the percentage of bonds in a specific group that fail to make their scheduled interest or principal payments, indicating a borrower’s inability to meet their debt obligations.

Credit quality ratings are measured on a scale that generally ranges from AAA (highest) to D (lowest).

Investment-grade securities: A security typically issued by governments or companies perceived to have a relatively low risk of defaulting on their payments. The higher quality of these bonds is reflected in their higher credit ratings when compared with bonds thought to have a higher risk of default, such as high-yield bonds.

Tranches are segments of a pool of securities that are divided up by credit rating, maturity, or other characteristics.

IMPORTANT INFORMATION

Fixed income securities are subject to interest rate, inflation, credit and default risk. The bond market is volatile. As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. The return of principal is not guaranteed, and prices may decline if an issuer fails to make timely payments or its credit strength weakens.

Securitized products, such as mortgage- and asset-backed securities, are more sensitive to interest rate changes, have extension and prepayment risk, and are subject to more credit, valuation and liquidity risk than other fixed-income securities.

Janus Henderson Investors makes no representation as to whether any illustration/example mentioned in this document is now or was ever held in any portfolio. Illustrations shown are for the limited purpose of highlighting specific elements of the research process. The examples are not intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell a security, or an indication of the holdings of any portfolio or an indication of performance for the subject company.