
Takeover activity across small-cap markets is no longer an occasional feature of the investment landscape. It has become one of the defining themes of today’s public markets. UK-listed companies in particular are experiencing an historic wave of public-to-private corporate takeovers, with significant ramifications for small- and mid-sized companies, according to Financial Times analysis of London Stock Exchange data.
While headlines often focus on takeover premiums and deal completion, a more important question sits beneath the surface: are companies being acquired because private ownership genuinely offers a better future, or because public markets are failing to recognise their value?
Persistent valuation gaps, constrained liquidity and declining analyst coverage have left many high-quality small-cap companies trading at levels that may not reflect their long-term potential. The result is an environment in which strategic buyers or private equity firms increasingly see opportunities that public markets may be overlooking.
For active investors, takeover situations require two distinct assessments. First, does the offer fairly reflect the company’s intrinsic value and long-term potential? Second, has the board conducted a robust process that protects shareholder interests and supports a credible recommendation?
The first question is fundamentally an investment judgement. The second is a matter of governance and stewardship. Both are critical in determining whether a proposed transaction represents the best outcome for shareholders.
Does the offer reflect intrinsic value?
A common feature of takeover announcements is the emphasis placed on the premium to the prevailing share price. While premiums provide a useful reference point, they should not become the primary measure of success.
Small-cap companies are particularly vulnerable to periods of depressed sentiment, limited research coverage and reduced liquidity. As a result, market prices may not always reflect a company’s long-term prospects. In these circumstances, what appears to be an attractive premium can still leave shareholders selling a business for less than it is worth.
Boards therefore need to anchor their assessment on intrinsic value rather than prevailing market valuations. This requires a clear understanding of the company’s competitive position, growth opportunities, capital requirements and long-term cash flow potential, among other factors.
As investors, we expect boards to have developed this perspective long before a bidder emerges. The responsibility does not begin when an approach is received. Boards should continually evaluate opportunities to close valuation gaps through strategy execution, disciplined capital allocation, shareholder engagement and incentive structures that support long-term value creation.
“We expect boards to be proactive outside of any bid, continuously reviewing strategy, testing positioning with investors and unlocking value. Too often boards are slow to act, leading to suboptimal outcomes. A clear, forward-looking understanding of value is critical to securing a full control premium.” – Indriatti van Hien, Portfolio Manager, UK Equities Team
Where boards conclude that an offer undervalues the business, investors should expect them to challenge it. Equally, if an offer is rejected, boards must demonstrate confidence in that decision by articulating a credible plan for delivering superior value independently.
Has the board run a robust process?
Price is important, but process matters too.
Even where an offer appears attractive, shareholders need confidence that it has been subjected to rigorous scrutiny and evaluated against all available alternatives.
A robust process helps ensure that boards are not simply reacting to the first available proposal but objectively assessing the full range of possible outcomes. This may include exploring alternative strategic options, engaging with potential competing bidders where appropriate and obtaining independent financial advice.
From a stewardship perspective, process is often as important as valuation. Shareholders need confidence that conflicts have been appropriately managed, independent directors have been actively involved and decisions have been made in the interests of all shareholders.
This is particularly important in the small-cap segment, where ownership structures may be concentrated and relationships between management, directors and shareholders can be closer than in larger companies.
“As investors, we ask tough questions to ensure the best outcomes for our clients. Boards must be equally prepared to explain how conflicts have been managed, how management retention bias has been addressed and how equitable treatment of all shareholders has been ensured. Above all, boards must demonstrate how they are fulfilling their fiduciary duties towards all shareholders.” – Ollie Beckett, Portfolio Manager, European Equities Team
Ultimately, shareholders should be able to understand not only the board’s recommendation, but also the process that led to it.
Are shareholders being treated fairly?
Take-private transactions remove minority shareholders altogether, raising the bar for fairness and transparency.
If a board recommends an acquisition that results in delisting, investors should understand not only why the offer is attractive, but also why remaining listed is no longer considered the preferred path.
Is the business constrained by limited access to capital? Has liquidity become insufficient? Does it require investment that public markets are unwilling to support? Or has the valuation disconnect become too significant to ignore?
Shareholders deserve transparency around these questions, because acquisitions do not occur in a vacuum. They represent a decision not only about ownership, but also about the future direction of the company.
While boards cannot disclose sensitive negotiations, they should provide sufficient information to explain the rationale for the transaction, the alternatives considered and why the recommended course of action is expected to deliver the best outcome for shareholders.
Not every takeover is a bad outcome
It is important to recognise that takeovers are not inherently negative.
In some situations, private ownership can allow a company to invest in long-term opportunities, undertake restructuring programmes or pursue strategic initiatives that would be more difficult to execute as a listed company. A well-priced acquisition can deliver an attractive outcome for shareholders while positioning the business to reflect a vision for future success.
Equally, there are examples where boards have resisted opportunistic approaches, remained independent and subsequently created substantially greater value for shareholders.
The key question is not whether a company remains public or becomes private. Rather, it is whether the board has undertaken a rigorous process, independently assessed intrinsic value and demonstrated that the chosen path represents the best available outcome for shareholders.
For active investors, assessing a takeover proposal requires both an investment lens and a stewardship lens. Value matters. Process matters. Fair treatment matters. Only when all three are present can shareholders be confident that a transaction genuinely serves their long-term interests.
Liquidity: A measure of how easily an asset can be bought or sold in the market. Assets that can be easily traded in the market in high volumes (without causing a major price move) are referred to as ‘liquid’.
Private Equity: An investment in a company that is not listed on a stock exchange. Like infrastructure investing, it tends to involve investors committing large amounts of money for long periods of time.
Small cap: Companies with a valuation (market capitalisation) at the smaller end of the market scale.
Valuation: An assessment of the value of a company. It can be measured in various ways, such as the total market value of its shares, expected future cash flows, or relative valuations measures such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio or Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio.
These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.
Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.
The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.
There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.
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- Shares/Units can lose value rapidly, and typically involve higher risks than bonds or money market instruments. The value of your investment may fall as a result.
- Shares of small and mid-size companies can be more volatile than shares of larger companies, and at times it may be difficult to value or to sell shares at desired times and prices, increasing the risk of losses.
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- Securities within the Fund could become hard to value or to sell at a desired time and price, especially in extreme market conditions when asset prices may be falling, increasing the risk of investment losses.
- The Fund could lose money if a counterparty with which the Fund trades becomes unwilling or unable to meet its obligations, or as a result of failure or delay in operational processes or the failure of a third party provider.
Specific risks
- Shares/Units can lose value rapidly, and typically involve higher risks than bonds or money market instruments. The value of your investment may fall as a result.
- Shares of small and mid-size companies can be more volatile than shares of larger companies, and at times it may be difficult to value or to sell shares at desired times and prices, increasing the risk of losses.
- If a Fund has a high exposure to a particular country or geographical region it carries a higher level of risk than a Fund which is more broadly diversified.
- The Fund may use derivatives with the aim of reducing risk or managing the portfolio more efficiently. However this introduces other risks, in particular, that a derivative counterparty may not meet its contractual obligations.
- If the Fund holds assets in currencies other than the base currency of the Fund, or you invest in a share/unit class of a different currency to the Fund (unless hedged, i.e. mitigated by taking an offsetting position in a related security), the value of your investment may be impacted by changes in exchange rates.
- When the Fund, or a share/unit class, seeks to mitigate exchange rate movements of a currency relative to the base currency (hedge), the hedging strategy itself may positively or negatively impact the value of the Fund due to differences in short-term interest rates between the currencies.
- Securities within the Fund could become hard to value or to sell at a desired time and price, especially in extreme market conditions when asset prices may be falling, increasing the risk of investment losses.
- The Fund could lose money if a counterparty with which the Fund trades becomes unwilling or unable to meet its obligations, or as a result of failure or delay in operational processes or the failure of a third party provider.