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The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
‘A third way’ to sustain the gig economy
Alison Porter, Graeme Clark and Richard Clode from the Global Technology Leaders Team discuss the gig economy’s broad-ranging impact and why ESG engagement is imperative when investing in disruptive technologies.
COVID-19: analysing approaches to mental health
Charlotte Nisbet, Analyst on the Governance and Responsible Investment Team and member of the Janus Henderson Mental Health Group, discusses the importance of mental health and wellbeing from an investment and employer perspective.
Global money trends still giving positive economic signal
A recent moderation of global narrow money growth is consistent with continued positive economic developments but there is less “excess” liquidity to fuel market gains, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.
Chinese money / credit data softer under the hood
Money trends warrant PBoC caution in withdrawing policy support, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.
Global output rebound suggesting earnings upside
A V-shaped recovery in global industrial output is almost complete but has yet to be reflected in earnings estimates, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.
Fundamentals before politics: the outlook for stocks and bonds through the US presidential election
Portfolio managers Jeremiah Buckley and Mike Keough discuss long-term fundamental factors that may prove to be more important than short-term uncertainty caused by the upcoming election.
Will the hump in defaults be a hill or a mountain?
Seth Meyer, Corporate Credit Portfolio Manager, and Esther Watt, Client Portfolio Manager, explore the default outlook for high yield bonds and the risks and opportunities this presents.
Strategic Fixed Income: the predictable Japanification of US corporates
Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, discusses how the suppression of volatility in interest rates by major central banks has spread the Japanification phenomenon to the US.
The Fed’s new policy, inflation and its implications for U.S. bonds
Greg Wilensky and Michael Keough discuss their outlook for U.S. inflation after the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy change, and its impact on U.S. bond markets.
A letter to the Fed from a concerned friend
Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos expresses concern that monetary policy focused on financial markets will do little to ignite the growth needed for the economy to recover from recent weakness.
A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets – October 2020
The global broad money stock is far above its estimated “equilibrium” level, implying medium-term upward pressure on asset prices, economic growth and goods and services inflation, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.