Market GPS
Investment outlook 2021
What should be on the radar for investors in 2021? Market GPS helps direction-set with a video summary, in-depth asset class analysis and our latest portfolio manager views.
Latest Insights
Subscribe for relevant insights delivered straight to your inbox
No free lunch
Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi Asset Team, responds to the planned US$1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus from US President Biden’s new government.
A blue wave or a blue swell?
With a Senate majority, Democrats will have an easier time of achieving their agenda. But it won’t occur without compromise, creating optimism in markets.
Peach State run-off could herald a light-blue wave for US politics
With Georgia’s Senate run-off vote offering a final, dramatic twist in the US election, what would it mean if Peach State voters hand power to the Democrats? Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi Asset Team, considers the ramifications of a potentially seismic political result.
Options market warms to divided government
The options market signals that riskier assets may find a supportive environment in an era of split government and policy moderation.
US election reflections – celebrating gridlock
In a tightly contested US election, where the issue of postal votes could decide the victor, what does this mean for financial markets? Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, looks ahead to potential policy paths and the dwindling prospects of a Biden fiscal bonanza.
2020 US election: first take
Why the removal of election uncertainty could support markets – regardless of the outcome.
Equity markets price in uncontested US election
Director of Research Matt Peron says when it comes to the U.S. election, the biggest risk for equity markets is not which party gets voted into office but whether the outcome is contested. So far, equities expect a clear winner on or near Election Day.
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
Options prices spike on election uncertainty
Risk surrounding the US election is reaching unprecedented levels, as measured by the options market. Head of Global Asset Allocation Ashwin Alankar explains why options prices are rising and why going long volatility may have the potential to benefit investors.
Emerging markets caught in trade winds
Geopolitics are often an important consideration when investing in emerging market (EM) stocks, the upcoming US election included. But regardless of who takes the White House in November, the next administration is likely to continue down a path of deglobalization, with important considerations for EM investors, says Emerging Market Equity Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña.
US election: interpreting market moves since President Trump’s positive COVID-19 diagnosis
Paul O’Connor, Head of the UK-based Multi-Asset Team, comments on the latest market movements as news of President Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis adds to the chances of a Democratic clean sweep in the US election.