Market GPS
Investment Outlook 2021
What should be on the radar for investors in 2021? Market GPS helps direction-set with a video summary, in-depth asset class analysis and our latest portfolio manager views.
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Inflation: is this the real thing? Is this just fantasy?…
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, explains why an expected and predictable cyclical reflation should not be confused with a longer-term structural breakout of inflation.
ESG in credit investing: themes, considerations and implementation
Adrienn Sarandi explains the Global Corporate Credit Team’s views on evolving ESG trends, how ESG analysis is best integrated into credit investment processes and key questions currently being asked by investors.
Euro investment grade: where less is more in 2021
Tim Winstone, corporate credit portfolio manager, sees reduced bond issuance, ongoing policy support and a recovering economy helping to underpin euro investment grade bonds in 2021.
Credit light cuts through the income darkness
Jenna Barnard and John Pattullo explain how credit markets navigated COVID with relative ease and why corporate bonds remain in the sweet spot for 2021.
High yield bonds: the grind tighter in 2021
Tom Ross, corporate credit portfolio manager, discusses the high yield bond outlook where an improving economy should help tighten credit spreads but may spark concerns about monetary tightening.
Is there a solvency crisis looming in credit markets?
Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, and Nick Ware, Portfolio Manager, counter the bear argument that credit is set to face a solvency crisis by explaining that liquidity is solvency.
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
Conditions in the high yield market
Tom Ross, corporate credit manager, discusses conditions in the high yield market, including the default outlook, the importance of monetary and fiscal stimulus and whether high yield can tolerate inflation.
Will the hump in defaults be a hill or a mountain?
Seth Meyer, Corporate Credit Portfolio Manager, and Esther Watt, Client Portfolio Manager, explore the default outlook for high yield bonds and the risks and opportunities this presents.
Strategic Fixed Income: the predictable Japanification of US corporates
Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, discusses how the suppression of volatility in interest rates by major central banks has spread the Japanification phenomenon to the US.
Strategic Fixed Income: Japanification — Europe first and now the US
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, explains how the suppression of volatility by the US Federal Reserve during the Covid crisis has led to the Japanification of the US corporate bond market.
Tubthumping (I get knocked down but I get up again)
Portfolio managers on the Absolute Return Income Strategy reflect on how the lyrics of a song from 20 years ago can have some interesting overlap with today’s crisis-hit economy and markets.