Simon is a partner at NS Partners LLP and is Economic Adviser to Janus Henderson Investors in London, a role he has held since 2009. He previously worked at New Star Institutional Managers, Lombard Street Research and Bank Julius Baer. He has degrees in economics and finance from Cambridge University and Birkbeck College, London.
Global money trends continue to give a downbeat message for economic prospects but there are hopeful signs in EM Far East economies, while medium-term inflation risks could be starting to recede, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.
US corporate profits have been inflated by stock appreciation, reduced overreporting of depreciation and government subsidies. The consensus forecast for S&P 500 earnings may understate the coming drag as these temporary influences fade.
The retail prices index is giving a more worrying message about inflationary pressures because it incorporates house prices and has been less affected by changes in basket weights, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.