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The Great Transition: demographic change in China
Jennifer James and Ales Koutny, emerging market specialists within the Global Bonds Team, interpret the data in China’s latest census, highlighting pressing economic and societal issues that will need to be addressed.
Rising bond yields — a validation of recovery or a challenge?
The world is set for a strong cyclical recovery. Andrew Mulliner, Head of Global Aggregate Strategies, shares his thoughts on the divergence in economic fortunes that are beginning to appear and the likely impact on investment opportunities.
Emerging market equities: China’s “smart” opportunity
Emerging markets Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña and Assistant Portfolio Manager Matt Culley explain why China is well positioned to lead in electric vehicle manufacturing.
Emerging market equities: same storm, different boats
The COVID-19 pandemic has likely exposed both the winners and pretenders in emerging markets, explains Daniel Graña.
China decarbonisation: the emergence of a mega-theme
Daniel Graña, Matt Doody and Jennifer James look at how China decarbonisation has the potential to be one of the biggest investment themes over the coming years.
The speed of change in emerging markets is unknown but the direction is not
Daniel Graña argues that country analysis should remain a key focus for emerging market investors given the implications from COVID-19 and a less supportive international trade environment.
The end of an era: emerging markets prepare for a post-globalisation world
Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña explains that in light of the retreat from further global economic integration, reformist policies and value-added services are likely to become future drivers of emerging market growth and investment returns.
Emerging markets caught in trade winds
Geopolitics are often an important consideration when investing in emerging market (EM) stocks, the upcoming US election included. But regardless of who takes the White House in November, the next administration is likely to continue down a path of deglobalization, with important considerations for EM investors, says Emerging Market Equity Portfolio Manager Daniel Graña.
Lagging Chinese money growth isn’t concerning
Money measures have surged in most major economies. Narrow money outperforms broad money as a leading indicator of economic activity. Annual growth of the official M1 measure in June was 35.9% in the US, 22.0% in Canada, 15.2% in the UK, 12.6% in the Eurozone and 12.3% in Japan.
Chinese stockbuilding cycle aligned with global upswing
The global stockbuilding (inventory) cycle is judged here to have bottomed in H1 2020, probably Q1. The cycle acted as a drag on global economic momentum in 2018-19 but is now scheduled to provide a tailwind at least through end-2021.
China: a steady early recovery but a moderation expected
In this Q&A, May Ling Wee from the China Equities Team, comments on the key issues impacting China’s recovery post COVID-19 and stock market performance year-to-date.
How is China slowly emerging from the coronavirus aftermath?
May Ling Wee, China equities portfolio manager, provides evidence that a resumption of economic activity is underfoot in China and discusses the accelerating digitisation of the economy, as well as how both companies and the government are supporting consumers and businesses.