Latest Insights
Subscribe for relevant insights delivered straight to your inbox
Is there a solvency crisis looming in credit markets?
Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, and Nick Ware, Portfolio Manager, counter the bear argument that credit is set to face a solvency crisis by explaining that liquidity is solvency.
Low rates versus US election: what matters for fixed income?
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, believes central bank policy is likely to be the dominant influence on fixed income markets, regardless of who wins the US election.
Conditions in the high yield market
Tom Ross, corporate credit manager, discusses conditions in the high yield market, including the default outlook, the importance of monetary and fiscal stimulus and whether high yield can tolerate inflation.
Will the hump in defaults be a hill or a mountain?
Seth Meyer, Corporate Credit Portfolio Manager, and Esther Watt, Client Portfolio Manager, explore the default outlook for high yield bonds and the risks and opportunities this presents.
Strategic Fixed Income: the predictable Japanification of US corporates
Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, discusses how the suppression of volatility in interest rates by major central banks has spread the Japanification phenomenon to the US.
Strategic Fixed Income: Japanification — Europe first and now the US
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, explains how the suppression of volatility by the US Federal Reserve during the Covid crisis has led to the Japanification of the US corporate bond market.
Tubthumping (I get knocked down but I get up again)
Portfolio managers on the Absolute Return Income Strategy reflect on how the lyrics of a song from 20 years ago can have some interesting overlap with today’s crisis-hit economy and markets.
Fed watch: stealth yield curve control?
Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos describes the Fed decision in July to hold rates steady as a non-event given that the central bank, through its actions, has already proven its willingness to do whatever it takes to support the US economy during this unprecedented period.
Back to business
With economies gradually reopening and markets suggesting better times ahead, credit portfolio managers James Briggs and Tim Winstone consider whether investors should be increasing their allocation to investment grade credit.
Strategic Fixed Income: from bond glut to bond drought
Nicholas Ware, Portfolio Manager in the Strategic Fixed Income Team, explains why he believes the second half of 2020 will see lower net issuance in corporate bond markets following the dizzying volume of new bond issues in the first half.
Avoiding a retest
In this video Tom Ross, corporate credit portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors explains why he believes the credit spread wides of March for high yield bonds are unlikely to be retested.
Breaking the link: GDP declines and default rates
Jenna Barnard and Nicholas Ware, Portfolio Managers in the Strategic Fixed Income Team, muse over how low corporate default rates may prove to be despite the pandemic-induced economic shock.