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The City of London Investment Trust plc

Keep calm and carry on – how to navigate volatile markets

When markets become volatile (meaning prices move up and down sharply, sometimes from one day to the next) it can feel uncomfortable for investors. Sharp price moves, worrying headlines and negative sentiment can all test confidence. But for Job Curtis, fund manager of The City of London Investment Trust, keeping a calm, long‑term mindset is essential.

Q: Greater market volatility appears to be part of today’s investing landscape. How do you navigate this as a fund manager?

Market ups and downs are a normal part of investing. Over my career, I’ve seen many periods of volatility. While they can feel unsettling at the time, history shows that markets have grown over the long term, despite regular setbacks.

My job is not to react to headlines or short‑term market moves. It is to focus on the long‑term prospects of good businesses and the income they can generate for our shareholders.

Q: Many investors worry that volatility means a recession is coming. Should they be concerned?

It’s understandable to worry, but it’s important to remember that markets and the economy are not the same thing. Markets look ahead. They often move well before economic data confirms what’s happening.

In the past, markets have often fallen and recovered before the economy improves. That’s why trying to step in and out of the market based on economic forecasts can be risky. You can end up missing the recovery.

Q: Why is taking a long‑term view so important right now?

Because trying to time markets rarely works. Some of the best days for returns often come shortly after the worst ones. If you’re out of the market, you may not benefit when prices recover.

A steady approach makes it easier to stay invested through difficult periods. For income‑focused investors in particular, keeping your capital working and dividends coming in can help take the emotion out of investing.

Q: How does being an investment trust help during volatile markets?

The investment trust structure is helpful in periods like this. Because the trust has a fixed number of shares, we are not forced to sell investments when markets fall and investors become nervous.

That allows us to hold on to good businesses and, if appropriate, add to them when prices look more attractive. It supports the long‑term approach that has served the trust well for decades.

Q: What role does income play during volatile markets?

Many of our shareholders value a growing income stream, especially when markets are unsettled.

The trust invests in large, well‑established companies listed in the UK that generate cash from around the world. We focus on businesses that can pay and grow dividends sustainably, through good times and bad.

Q: What’s your key message to investors feeling nervous today?

Volatility is uncomfortable, but it doesn’t have to derail a well‑thought‑out investment plan. Staying calm, staying invested and focusing on quality and income can make a big difference over time.

The City of London Investment Trust has been through many market cycles since 1932. A disciplined, long‑term approach has helped us navigate them – and it remains just as important today.

 

Dividend

A variable discretionary payment made by a company to its shareholders.

Volatility

The rate and extent at which the price of a portfolio, security, or index, moves up and down. If the price swings up and down with large movements, it has high volatility. If the price moves more slowly and to a lesser extent, it has lower volatility. The higher the volatility, the higher the risk of the investment.

These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.

 

Before investing in an investment trust referred to in this article, you should satisfy yourself as to its suitability and the risks involved, you may wish to consult a financial adviser. Please refer to the AIFMD Disclosure document and Annual Report of the AIF before making any final investment decisions. Tax assumptions and reliefs depend upon an investor’s particular circumstances and may change if those circumstances or the law change.

 

Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

 

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

 

There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.

 

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Important information

Please read the following important information regarding funds related to this article.

Before investing in an investment trust referred to in this document, you should satisfy yourself as to its suitability and the risks involved, you may wish to consult a financial adviser. This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the AIFMD Disclosure document and Annual Report of the AIF before making any final investment decisions.
    Specific risks
  • Derivatives may be used with the aim of reducing risk or managing the portfolio more efficiently. However, this introduces other risks, in particular, that a derivative counterparty may not meet its contractual obligations.
  • Losses could be incurred if a counterparty became unwilling or unable to meet its obligations, or as a result of failure or delay in operational processes or the failure of a third party provider.
  • Some of the administrative expenses are taken from capital. This allows more income to be paid but it may also restrict capital growth or even reduce the capital over time.
  • If a Company's portfolio is concentrated towards a particular country or geographical region, the investment carries greater risk (as well as the potential for greater reward) than a portfolio that is diversified across more countries.
  • This investment should be held as part of a broader diversified portfolio. Balancing it with investments that have different risk profiles can help reduce the impact of any single investment underperforming.
  • The Company may borrow to invest, which could magnify gains or losses.
  • As the Company may borrow to invest, changes in interest rates could increase or decrease the cost of any borrowings.
  • The Company invests in the shares of other companies. These shares may become hard to value or to sell at a desired time and price, especially in extreme market conditions when asset prices may be falling, increasing the risk of investment losses.
  • Your return on investment is directly related to the market price of the Company's shares, which may be higher (trading at a premium) or lower (trading at a discount) than the value of its underlying net asset value assets. This means your returns may differ from the performance of those assets.
  • While active management techniques are typically positive for performance, this approach may also result in periods of underperformance relative to the benchmark and comparable passive and index-tracking funds, particularly during unexpected market shifts.
  • Shares can gain and lose value rapidly, and typically involve higher risks than bonds or money market instruments. The value of your investment may rise and fall in line with the underlying equity markets.
  • If the companies in which the portfolio is invested persistently reduce their dividend payments, the Company will find it more difficult to maintain or grow its own dividend payments each year.
  • The Company maintains a portfolio with a bias towards income-generating companies. This may result in the Company significantly underperforming or outperforming the wider market.