What began as a gradual climb in nominal yields from the summer accelerated in February. Moves of this speed are rare, so we dedicated an ISG meeting to ask why global yield curves have steepened so quickly and what the implications are for fixed income asset allocation.
Andrew Mulliner, Portfolio Manager and Head of Global Aggregate Strategies and Bethany Payne, Portfolio Manager, outline the implications of the announcements by the UK government in November 2020, that RPI will be aligned with CPIH from February 2030 and green gilts are to be issued from this year.
The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Head of Global Aggregate Strategies, both members of the Fixed Income Investment Strategy Group (ISG)*, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.