For financial professionals in the UK

Simon Ward

Economic Adviser

Simon is a partner at NS Partners LLP and is Economic Adviser to Janus Henderson Investors in London, a role he has held since 2009. He previously worked at New Star Institutional Managers, Lombard Street Research and Bank Julius Baer. He has degrees in economics and finance from Cambridge University and Birkbeck College, London.

Articles Written

Is US / Chinese monetary divergence reversing?
Global Perspectives

Is US / Chinese monetary divergence reversing?

Chinese money trends are showing signs of improvement despite the real estate crisis while a US slowdown may extend as a reduction in monetary deficit financing is not fully offset by stronger bank lending, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

UK MPC inaction risks sterling inflation boost
Global Perspectives

UK MPC inaction risks sterling inflation boost

The MPC’s communications shambles is of less concern than its continued neglect of monetary trends in setting policy, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Global monetary round-up
Global Perspectives

Global monetary round-up

Global money trends continue to give a downbeat message for economic prospects but there are hopeful signs in EM Far East economies, while medium-term inflation risks could be starting to recede, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Will industrial commodity prices fall in 2022?
Global Perspectives

Will industrial commodity prices fall in 2022?

Monetary and cycle considerations suggest a cooling of commodity markets but Chinese policy decisions will influence the timing of any weakness, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets – October 2021
Global Perspectives

A “monetarist” perspective on current equity markets – October 2021

“Stagflation” concerns are likely to persist into 2022, while investors should keep a close eye on Chinese monetary trends and G7 bank lending, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Fade the PMI bounce
Global Perspectives

Fade the PMI bounce

Better September PMI results are unlikely to mark a reacceleration point for global growth, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Fed tapering: why the 2013-14 playbook could be misleading
Global Perspectives

Fed tapering: why the 2013-14 playbook could be misleading

The initial market response to the Fed’s tapering signal recalls 2013-14 but the global economic backdrop is weaker now than then, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Global earnings momentum fading before Evergrande
Global Perspectives

Global earnings momentum fading before Evergrande

The Evergrande crisis could add to cyclical headwinds but a global industrial / earnings slowdown was already under way, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

Is UK money growth normalising?
Global Perspectives

Is UK money growth normalising?

The Bank of England bears significant responsibility for the current inflation upsurge but a sharp policy reversal could compound the error, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

No recovery in global money growth in August
Global Perspectives

No recovery in global money growth in August

Monetary trends have yet to signal an end to the current economic slowdown phase, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.

US profits boosted by one-offs
Global Perspectives

US profits boosted by one-offs

US corporate profits have been inflated by stock appreciation, reduced overreporting of depreciation and government subsidies. The consensus forecast for S&P 500 earnings may understate the coming drag as these temporary influences fade.

Glimmers of hope in Chinese monetary details
Global Perspectives

Glimmers of hope in Chinese monetary details

A recovery in household money growth could be an early signal of improving economic prospects, argues Simon Ward, Economic Adviser.