MARKET GPS
Investment Outlook 2020
What are the most pressing issues facing investors globally and how will they evolve in the year ahead? Our asset class heads provide their views on the investment themes to watch in 2020.
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ECB — one for the specialists
Andrew Mulliner, Portfolio Manager Global Bonds, shares his views on the outcome of today’s European Central Bank meeting, which as he explains was expected to be the hors d’oeuvre of the ECB’s policy review; in reality it was more akin to a notification that the ECB would be cooking dinner.
Fed policy to cast a shadow over 2020
Co-Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos identifies the opportunities and risks he sees for fixed income investors in 2020 as the US Federal Reserve’s near-term policy path remains far from certain.
US Fed decision hits the wrong target
While Co-Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos agrees with the US Federal Reserve (Fed) holding benchmark rates steady, he is concerned that the risk to short-term lending markets will remain elevated until the central bank addresses issues in the market’s post-crisis infrastructure.
Strategic Fixed Income outlook 2020 — no reflation without a soft dollar
Jenna Barnard and John Pattullo, Co-Heads of Strategic Fixed Income, share their thoughts on bond markets in the coming year; where they see risks and opportunities and where they look for clues.
Tell Tail Signs: November 2019 – Don’t bet on recession or disinflation
Janus Henderson’s US-based Multi-Asset Solutions Team present their latest Tail Risk Report, using options market prices to infer expected tail gains and losses for each asset class.
Keep your cash in play
With the yields on short-dated investments very low or negative in Europe, managers of the Janus Henderson Absolute Return Fixed Income Fund, explain how moving along the risk spectrum into an actively-managed, low volatility fixed income strategy could be a potential solution for investors seeking to make their defensive assets work harder over the medium term.
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Finding value in bonds amid negative rates
Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, provides his perspective on key macroeconomic factors driving fixed income markets.
Strategic Fixed Income — reflationary impulse back on the menu (for now)
John Pattullo, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, provides an insight into the Strategic Fixed Income Team’s current thinking on topics such as the current inflationary impulse running through the markets and the chances of a soft or hard landing in the US economy.
Generating returns in a low rate environment
In this round-table discussion, Nick Maroutsos, Dan Siluk and Jason England, portfolio managers on the Absolute Return Income strategy, talk candidly about matters affecting markets and how these are influencing their investment decisions.
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A hawkish rate cut
A pause after October’s rate cut in the US may make sense in the short term, but greater accommodation may be necessary over the long haul.
High yield: blurred lines in valuations create opportunities
In this video update, Tom Ross, corporate credit portfolio manager, looks at conditions in the high yield bond market, exploring how technical conditions, dispersion among credits and blurred lines in valuations are creating opportunities.
The role of bonds in a negative rate world
Despite the ultra-low interest rate environment, Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, discusses bond’s role as a diversifier in a broad portfolio.